The “Avoidability” of Forecast Error
"Forecastability" is a frequent topic of discussion on The BFD, and an…
One-Number Forecasting: A New Worst Practice?
The one-number forecasting concept has been debated for years.Advocates argue that having…
Forecasting the Stock Market: Lessons Learned
There is a well recognized phenomenon that combining forecasts, derived from different…
Forecasting Is Harder Than It Looks
Want to make weather forecasting look good? Want to make weather forecasting…
Simple Methods and Ensemble Forecasting of Elections
Two enduring principles of forecasting are that simple methods can work as…
The Predictive Power of Nonsense
The 2012 US Presidential race comes to a close today (thankfully), and…
Guest Blogger: Len Tashman Previews Fall 2012 Issue of Foresight
Editor Len Tashman's Preview of ForesightThe importance of Editor Len Tashman's Preview…