Analysis in R indicates “Moderately Strong Support” for fraud in Iranian election

Walter Mebane has updated the analysis we looked at on Tuesday. The analysis now includes town-level polling data from the 2005 election, leading Mebane to conclude “moderately strong support for a diagnosis that the 2009 election was afflicted by significant fraud”. Pollster.com has a good review of the updated report; the report itself and the updated R scripts and data are also available.

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Walter Mebane has updated the analysis we looked at on Tuesday. The analysis now includes town-level polling data from the 2005 election, leading Mebane to conclude “moderately strong support for a diagnosis that the 2009 election was afflicted by significant fraud”. Pollster.com has a good review of the updated report; the report itself and the updated R scripts and data are also available.

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