The Human Factor Continually Confounds Probability Models
With four weeks to go in the 2011 Major League Baseball season,…
Why Can’t We Just Use Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets were all the rage a few years ago, two of…
NYT on breast cancer screening and probabilty
The New York Times last weekend looked at the controversy around the…
When improbable events are expected
This week's column by The Numbers Guy in the Wall Street Journal…