The First Data Scientist on the Evolution of Data Science

February 18, 2013

Norman Nie was not surprised by the accurate predictions of the presidential election results from Nate Silver and others. “A lot of it,” he told me recently, “is good statistics and good science and good statistical programming packages.” The increasing amount of money spent by the media on polling, Nie believes, improved the accuracy of predictions by increasing the number of observations. In addition, with so much knowledge available now about every individual, the hypotheses and models used by the forecasters were developed on solid foundations.