mvgilliland

23 Articles

Judgmental Adjustments to the Forecast

So you think you can outsmart your statistical forecast? Apparently, lots of…

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Multistage Modeling with SAS Forecast Server Client (Part 1)

Pu Wang is a Sr. Research Statistician in SAS R&D, and has…

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How to Solve a Difficult Forecasting Problem

The Boulder, The Cliff, and The BabyImagine you are faced with this…

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Don’t Fine Tune Your Forecast!

Does your forecast look like a radio? No? Then don't treat it…

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ATM Replenishment: Forecasting and Optimization

Why do people steal ATMs? Because that's where the money is!!! Why…

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Interview with Jonathon Karelse, Co-Founder of NorthFind Partners

Jonathon Karelse Jonathon KarelseIn December the Institute of Business Forecasting published the…

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Alfred Hitchcock and a Classic Forecasting Scam

The Forecasting SavantSuppose you received an email from a self-proclaimed forecasting savant,…

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Gaming the Forecast

Business forecasting is a highly politicized process, subject to the biases and…

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The Miracle of Combining Forecasts

In 1947, in New York City, there was the Miracle on 34th…

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The “Avoidability” of Forecast Error [PART 2]

While I've long advocated the use of Coefficient of Variation (CV) as…

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